Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.524950 4.210493 4.975367 5.889306 6.948800 8.135420 9.561977
2025-09-07 2.479991 3.337950 4.396380 5.787091 7.553840 9.709870 12.524807
2025-09-14 1.781000 2.655740 3.830625 5.500545 7.785091 10.769132 14.923299
2025-09-21 1.397760 2.276592 3.545513 5.471410 8.271103 12.134032 17.792916
2025-09-28 1.125114 1.985066 3.309841 5.440245 8.704837 13.425514 20.645434
2025-10-05 1.002078 1.892986 3.342758 5.789417 9.704862 15.586869 24.900602
2025-10-12 0.871210 1.757842 3.278215 5.963560 10.438470 17.401987 28.784104
2025-10-19 0.777723 1.667614 3.268469 6.214877 11.305949 19.479694 33.218684
2025-10-26 0.665370 1.518334 3.129194 6.219155 11.753922 20.917689 36.747569
2025-11-02 0.545863 1.329248 2.884995 5.998156 11.781456 21.657097 39.187842
2025-11-09 0.449625 1.167412 2.664727 5.786046 11.790405 22.348655 41.578757
2025-11-16 0.388552 1.069731 2.555383 5.768036 12.142605 23.645271 45.071978
2025-11-23 0.337342 0.985678 2.464506 5.781407 12.567442 25.126916 49.040945
2025-11-30 0.287727 0.894151 2.342507 5.713988 12.827832 26.332176 52.612434
2025-12-07 0.233095 0.775506 2.137965 5.439874 12.641849 26.688433 54.663771
2025-12-14 0.201541 0.712006 2.051818 5.413687 12.957407 28.012482 58.587926
2025-12-21 0.174462 0.654290 1.969475 5.383582 13.258134 29.325188 62.572720
2025-12-28 0.167590 0.657120 2.042571 5.729781 14.406272 32.395671 70.127266
2026-01-04 0.153884 0.634496 2.044452 5.902408 15.184180 34.771405 76.467796
2026-01-11 0.144292 0.623290 2.075655 6.151469 16.156460 37.609007 83.888749
2026-01-18 0.127401 0.581756 2.014280 6.155714 16.563210 39.295853 89.099422
2026-01-25 0.106243 0.517752 1.875349 5.936718 16.420308 39.805802 91.941049
2026-02-01 0.088581 0.461056 1.746936 5.726536 16.273840 40.290790 94.751485